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Voices of todayKarl Popper

Karl Popper

Philosopher of science: a theory is scientific only if it could be proven false; defender of the open society

PhilosopherWriter1902 · 1994 Austria

3 videos analysed · 7 quotes checked word for word · updated 2026-10-22

In 30 secondsPopper was an Austrian-British philosopher, one of the most influential thinkers on science of the 20th century. For him, no number of observations can prove a general law, but a single counter-example can refute it: so a theory is scientific if it can be tested and possibly proven false. All our knowledge stays provisional, a set of bold guesses that we keep criticising. He judged that Marxism and psychoanalysis had made themselves immune to refutation. In politics he defended the open society against all claims to know the laws of history. On God he said he did not know.
Key facts

Positions

click a row to see the evidence
Does God exist?God
AtheismTheism
Stated explicitly
Position

In a 1969 interview he said: "I don't know whether God exists or not", and found agnosticism, admitting that we do not know and keep searching, "all right".

Where does knowledge come from?Source of knowledge
Empiricism (from experience)Rationalism (from reason)
Interpretation
Position

He rejects both classic answers: knowledge does not come from piling up observations (he accepts Hume's critique of induction), nor from pure reason. It comes from bold guesses tested against experience.

Can we reach certain truths?Certainty
SkepticismCertainty attainable
Stated explicitly
Position

Fallibilism: all knowledge is provisional, made of conjectures that must be tested and can be replaced. He refuses, however, to call this scepticism: we can still get closer to the truth. In a 1988-89 television interview he repeats that science aims at the truth, but that, since we cannot trust ourselves to have found it, we hunt for our own errors; relativism is answered not by dogmatic certainty but by progress.

Is the mind more than matter?Mind and body
MaterialismDualism
Stated explicitly
Position

With the neuroscientist John Eccles (The Self and Its Brain, 1977) he defended an interactionist dualism: mental properties are distinct from physical ones and act on them. He was not a dualist of two substances, and he added a "World 3" of objective ideas.

Are we truly free?Freedom
Determinism (no free will)Free will
Stated explicitly
Position

An indeterminist: the future is open. He saw freedom "not just chance but, rather, the result of a subtle interplay" between randomness and selective control. Interviewed by Ernst Gombrich in 1988, he says there are natural laws "even though not really deterministic natural laws", and traces the idea of historical determinism back to natural determinism.

Why
What is objected, and the reply

If the world is a clockwork, the whole future is already fixed.

Popper

He rejects determinism: there are natural laws, but not strictly deterministic ones, and historical determinism is an offshoot of natural determinism.

Criticizes : Social existence determines consciousness

Can reason judge everything, faith included?Faith and reason
Primacy of faith / the heartReason alone judges
Interpretation
Position

His whole philosophy is "critical rationalism": every belief, his own included, must remain open to criticism. In an archive interview he calls "an attitude of conscious criticism" the decisive element of science.

Does life have a given meaning?Meaning of life
No given meaning (absurd, to be created)Objective meaning (nature, God, the Good)
Interpretation
Position

He denies that history has a direction or laws: there is no historical necessity, and its course depends on human actions we cannot foresee. It is up to us to give it aims.

No sourced position yet on: Status of morality, Human nature.

On the big questions

Does God exist?Agnosticism
Are we free?Free will

Indeterminism: freedom as an interplay of chance and control.

Why
What is objected, and the reply

If the world is a clockwork, the whole future is already fixed.

Popper

He rejects determinism: there are natural laws, but not strictly deterministic ones, and historical determinism is an offshoot of natural determinism.

Criticizes : Social existence determines consciousness

The question on the site: all the arguments
Is the mind the brain?The mind is not matter

Interactionism with Eccles: the mind acts on the brain.

The question on the site: all the arguments
Can science explain everything?True, but not everything

Science never proves; it tests, refutes and gets closer to the truth.

Why
What is objected, and the reply

A failed prediction never refutes a single theory, only a bundle of theory and background assumptions.

Popper

He came to accept that theories predict only together with auxiliary assumptions, and that adjusting them is normal in science. What matters is whether a change is genuine or only ad hoc, made to escape refutation.

Scientists do not really try to refute their theories: science advances through paradigm shifts.

No known reply from them.
See 1 more objections

No method is better than another, and no one can claim to be closer to the truth.

Popper

He answers that he does not claim to hold the truth in his pocket, but that we have made definite progress.

Defends : A theory is scientific if it can be refutedCriticizes : Scientific revolutions: changing paradigm is not proving

The question on the site: all the arguments
Does history have a direction?No direction

In 1988 he said that about the future "we know nothing but that it is open", not predetermined, and that it depends on our efforts.

Why

Defends : The course of history cannot be predicted: the poverty of historicism

The question on the site: all the arguments

In their words

we try really to find the weaknesses of the hypothesis
I don't know whether God exists or not.
Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance.

How the ideas evolved

Click a step for details
  1. 1919Marx, Freud, Adler... and Einstein

    As a young man in Vienna he notices that some theories seem confirmed by everything, while Einstein's makes risky predictions that could fail. This contrast becomes the seed of his criterion.

  2. 1934The Logic of Scientific Discovery

    Logik der Forschung criticises inductivism and logical positivism and proposes falsifiability as the line between science and non-science.

  3. 1945The Open Society and Its Enemies

    Written in exile in New Zealand, the book attacks the philosophical roots of totalitarianism and historicism, and defends a society of free individuals who respect each other's rights.

  4. 1946London School of Economics

    He moves to the LSE in London, where he teaches logic and scientific method; Paul Feyerabend is among his students.

  5. 1977The Self and Its Brain

    With John Eccles he defends an interactionist view of mind and brain, and a two-stage model of freedom.

  6. 1978Changing his mind on Darwin

    He had called Darwinism "a metaphysical research program". He later writes: "I have changed my mind about the testability and logical status of the theory of natural selection."

  7. 1988Uncertain Truth on Channel 4

    In a television series he is interviewed by Ernst Gombrich, John Eccles and Anthony Quinton. He rejects historical determinism and answers relativism with the idea of real, though never final, progress.

    In their words
    « while I think there are natural laws even though not really deterministic natural laws »Interviewed by Gombrich, he rejects determinism, historical determinism being an offshoot of natural determinism. watch
    « about the future we know nothing but that it is open that it is not predetermined and that it will depend on our efforts whether it will be better or worse than it is now »History has no predetermined course: the future is open and depends on our efforts. watch
    « there is no such a thing as progressivism that is to say and necessity to progress »Against historicism: there is no necessity of progress; we can always regress, so we must work for a better world. watch
  8. 1989Criticism as the heart of science

    In an interview he says that beyond trial and error, what is decisive in science is conscious criticism: we deliberately create the circumstances in which our hypothesis could fail.

    In their words
    « conscious criticism an attitude of conscious criticism »In an interview he calls conscious criticism the decisive element of science, beyond trial and error. watch
    « we try to find out its weaknesses we think about it and think perhaps under such and such circumstances our hypothesis will not work »He describes testing a hypothesis by deliberately creating the circumstances in which it could fail. watch
    « we are aiming at the truth and that is our goal »Science aims at the truth, but since we cannot trust ourselves to have found it, we search for our own errors. watch

The arguments 7

The site's arguments they defend or criticize, and why. Click a title to see the full argument.

Defends · 3
The course of history cannot be predicted: the poverty of historicismKarl Popper · Does history have a direction?

His own argument: the course of history depends on the growth of knowledge, which cannot be predicted, so history cannot be predicted either. In 1988 he adds that there is no necessity of progress: "we can always also regress".

A theory is scientific if it can be refutedKarl Popper · Can science explain everything?

His own criterion: a theory is scientific if possible observations could contradict it. In 1989: "we try to find out its weaknesses", imagining circumstances in which the hypothesis will not work, then testing them.

The problem of inductionHume · Can we be certain of anything?Mixed

He accepts Hume's critique: experience can never verify a universal law. But he denies that science really uses induction, so the problem does not lead to scepticism.

Criticizes · 4
Induction by eliminationBacon · Can we be certain of anything?

Against the idea that science starts from piling up observations: it starts from conjectures.

Scientific revolutions: changing paradigm is not provingThomas Kuhn · Can science explain everything?

Kuhn's Structure of Scientific Revolutions denied that science grows by testing and refuting; Popper's approach was overshadowed by it.

Social existence determines consciousnessMarx · Are we free?

He rejects Marx's historical materialism and holds that there are no laws of history to predict the future.

Justice is each part of the city and of the soul doing its own taskPlaton · What is a just society?

The Open Society and Its Enemies attacks Plato's ideal city as a forerunner of closed, totalitarian societies.

Allies and opponents

Close, influences
David HumeInfluence

He takes over Hume's critique of induction, but draws an optimistic conclusion from it.

Albert EinsteinInfluence

Einstein's risky, refutable predictions were his model of a scientific theory.

Paul FeyerabendSparring partner

His former student at the LSE, who later rejected any fixed scientific method.

JJohn EcclesClose

The Nobel-winning neuroscientist with whom he wrote The Self and Its Brain.

Disagree
Thomas KuhnDisagrees

Kuhn denied that science grows step by step through refutations.

Ludwig WittgensteinDisagrees

Popper saw him as a rival and his "nemesis", and attacked the focus of British philosophy on language.

Karl MarxDisagrees

He rejects historical materialism and any claim to predict history.

Georg Wilhelm Friedrich HegelDisagrees

Volume 2 of The Open Society presents Hegel's philosophy of history as a source of modern totalitarianism.

PlatoDisagrees

Target of The Open Society and Its Enemies.

Signature ideas

The asymmetry of proof

"An exception, far from 'proving' a rule, conclusively refutes it": a thousand white swans do not prove that all swans are white, one black swan proves they are not.

The paradox of tolerance

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance": a tolerant society may have to defend itself against intolerant movements.

The three worlds

World 1: physical things. World 2: our mental states. World 3: the objective contents of thought, such as theories and problems, which act back on the other two.

Do you agree with Popper?

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All sources (9)
  1. Karl Popper Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy · 2022
  2. Karl Popper Wikipedia · 2026
  3. The Open Society and Its Enemies Wikipedia · 2026
  4. Karl Popper on Falsification & Science (1989) YouTube (republication) · 1989
  5. Karl Popper - Uncertain Truth - 1/6 (Channel 4, 1988) YouTube (republication) · 1988
  6. Karl Popper - Uncertain Truth - 2/6 (Channel 4, 1988) YouTube (republication) · 1988
  7. Karl Popper on Falsification & Science (1989) YouTube (republication) · 1989
  8. Karl Popper on Falsification & Science (1989) YouTube (republication) · 1989
  9. Karl Popper - Uncertain Truth - 2/6 (Channel 4, 1988) YouTube (republication) · 1988